But I have a grim feeling America might be seeing a recession this year.
Take a look at this graph:
Pay attention to what happens with the dollar there from 2017 onwards. America first, heh?
The graph in the link below partially explains this process:
The other explanation is a recent bill from Trump that cut taxes:
Don't be surprised if USA government debts increase. And with more debts, more loans are required. To attract more loans, the government increases interests from the loans. And considering that US government always pays its loans (it can create more dollars if necessary), with higher interests US government loans can be more interesting that Dow Jones... at least for some conservative investors.
With the value of the dollar going downhill, I don't think Trump's tax cut will make the difference he is expecting on Uncle Sam's economy. But it is not clear that there will be a recession in a low term either. Probably on medium and long term.
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