I have looked at this in the log. You are actually authenticating and then there is a system error. Please could you try logging in with a different OnlineID (just make up a new one, and if that is in use, try a different one) and report back.
I never get the chance to log in. The game freezes when I hit Online menu and after a really long time gives the Cannot connect error:
I've never been able to login before either afaik.
I've already added Kane's Wrath as exception to the (advanced) firewall; I checked (with a internet traffic tool) the connection of KW and there is some traffic inbound and outbound.
In-game under Settings/Network, my own internal IP address is shown as Online IP; I cannot select or see any other IP address there.